Catalonia wants to vote for the right: polls boost Aliança Catalana

An Ipsos poll for La Vanguardia gives Aliança Catalana 30 seats, compared to the current 2, while the PSC drops from 42 to 30. The sum of Aliança, Vox, Junts, and PP would reach 75 deputies, above the absolute majority of 68.

The PSC would fall from 42 to 30 seats in the upcoming regional elections, according to the Ipsos poll for La Vanguardia, reported by abc.es. Meanwhile, Aliança Catalana would surge from 2 to 30 deputies, a growth that would change the parliamentary landscape.

The sum of Aliança Catalana (30), Vox (18), Junts (16), and PP (11) would reach 75 seats, above the absolute majority set at 68. These parties, with nuances, share a critical view of multiculturalism and collectivism.

Aliança Catalana proclaims itself independentist, but Sílvia Orriols' discourse dedicates most of its arguments to uncontrolled immigration and its impact on housing, education, and healthcare. The party, with municipal roots, now faces the challenge of growing without losing cohesion.

“Seny i ordre”

This slogan closes Orriols' speeches and, according to analysis, better explains her appeal than unilateralism. The lack of a strong bench will force signings that could dilute the purity of the project, a classic risk for parties that move from obscurity to centrality in a short time.

Junts, which loses more than half of its seats, will have to manage the return of Carles Puigdemont to a Catalonia different from that of 2017 and reconnect with the moderate catalanism that gave absolute majorities to Convergència.

Vox will have to choose between dismantling the autonomies or defending free enterprise and private property. The PP, with a loyal but insufficient electorate, could act as a cheerleader for a large coalition, although reconciling unionist parties with separatists requires specific agreements, not permanent marriages.

The precedent of Francesc Cambó in October 1934 illustrates this logic: faced with the socialist coup in Asturias and Companys' rebellion, he prioritized the republican government. The former Convergència, recycled as independentist, abandoned its liberal and conservative roots, leaving the Catalonia of property owners, mutualists, and SMEs orphaned at the polls.

The exodus of more than one thousand companies following the unilateral declaration of independence in 2017 exacerbated that feeling. Now, the leaders of the Catalan right face the electoral challenge with the priority of addressing that social majority.